WASHINGTON (AFP) – Moments after overturning a Republican seat in Congress in 2018, Iowa is a Democrat Cindy Aksen He declared, “Washington does not support us and we deserve much better.”
Now seeking a third term in one of the most competitive House races, Axen issues a similar tone, telling voters she has provided a voice for Iowans “while Washington politicians bicker.”
But Axne and other Democrats from Class of 2018 She campaigns in a much different political environment this year. Concern about Donald Trump’s presidency eased that their party was poised to overturn more than 40 seats and regain a majority in the House of Representatives. In its place has been frustration about the economy under President Joe Biden.
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And the Republican-dominated state legislatures have redrawn many of the once-competitive districts, becoming more Republican-friendly.
“It was a completely different world,” pollster John Zogby said of 2018. “Inflation is now that we haven’t seen it in 40 years and it affects everyone. And that’s the ruling party. With campaigns, you can’t say, ‘But it could have been’ or “But look what the other guy did.”
Tom Perez, who chaired the Democratic National Committee from 2017 through 2021, noted that midterms have historically been tough for the president’s party, and that—in addition to bleak US economic news—it would usually raise the question, “Are the Democrats going to be bombed?”
Instead, Perez believes that many of the toughest congressional races are still close due to the strength of Democrats elected four years ago.
said Perez, co-chair of The Super PAC American Bridge 21st Century. “That, to me, is why we have an opportunity here, without facing headwinds at the moment, is that this amazing combination of filter quality contrasts with the extreme views of the people they are competing against.”
In all, 66 new Democrats won House elections in 2018, beating 41 Republican seats. their party He brought back a lot of those gains in 2020, with the Republicans gaining 14 new seats. The Republican Party’s victories included defeating dozens of Democrats elected to the House of Representatives for the first time in the previous session.
Biden’s victory over Trump overshadowed the losses of the House of Representatives. But this time around, the 2018 Democratic House’s additional dwindling could attract more attention — especially if it helps the GOP get the five net seats it needs to regain a majority in the room.
In addition to Axney, Democrats who may be at risk are Representatives Elisa Slotkin of Michigan, Tom Malinowski of New Jersey and Elaine Luria of Virginia. Virginia’s other Democratic Representative, Representative Abigail Spannberger, as well as Representatives Jared Golden of Maine, Angie Craig of Minnesota, and Sharesh Davids of Kansas, may also face a difficult re-election.
“The question is, will it have similarities to 2018 or not, in the sense of democracy being on the ballot and a reaction to Trump,” former California Democratic Representative Harley Rhoda, who was elected in 2018 but narrowly lost his reelection bid, said. for next month’s elections. “Based on opinion polls and primaries, the voting public doesn’t seem to hold Republicans responsible for the big lie.”
Peres was more optimistic: “The midterm elections are supposed to be a referendum on the president, but Donald Trump keeps injecting himself” into the nation’s politics.
House rotation is common to both parties. By early 2018, almost half of the 87 Republicans newly elected to the House of Representatives when their party took control of the room during the 2010 Tea Party Surge. He lost more in November of that year.
However, the 2018 chapter was notable as the largest influx of House Democrats in the first year in more than four decades, and the chamber’s youngest and oldest members. The most diverse Ever.
2018 was also the largest class of new women elected to the House of Representatives since 1992, with 35 Democrats and one Republican, said Debbie Walsh, director of the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. But 2020 also saw the election of 28 new women to Congress, some of whom are Republicans who defeated the Democrats who won for the first time in the last session.
“We’ve had a very strong few years in a row, one for Democrats and one for Republicans,” Walsh said of women in the House of Representatives. This means that even if the 2018 House Democrats get smaller this year, she said, don’t look at a single election cycle and say the face of Congress is back on older white men.”
Republicans, meanwhile, have 32 Hispanic and 23 black candidates vying for the House of Representatives in this cycle—both parties score. They say their chances of winning the majority of the room are based more on high inflation And the High crime rates In some places other than Trump or last year’s uprising.
“We have a choice between logical reason and madness,” Republican National Committee chairwoman Rona McDaniel said in a statement. Americans will vote Republicans up and down as a result.
The 2018 House of Representatives impeachment against Democrats will not be completely dissolved. Some incumbents are seeking re-election in safe blue zones, including Representatives Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, Lucy Macpath of Georgia and Colin Allred of Texas, who was the class’s co-chair.
Michigan Democratic Representative Hayley Stevens, the other co-chair, beat fellow 2018 Democrat Andy Levine when Two incumbents squared in the Democratic primary this year based on their state’s new map.
One member of the Democratic House of Representatives class of 2018 who was ousted in 2020, former New York Representative Max Rose, is now running to return to Congress. Since then, another member, New Jersey Representative Jeff Van Drew, has become a Republican.
Former Virginia Representative Denver Riggleman was a Republican who was elected in 2018 but lost the 2020 GOP primary. Riggleman now appears in a TV ad praising Spanberger.
“She’s trying to change Congress and make it work,” Rigelman says in the ad. “It puts the country first.”
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