Rays vs Guardians Odds, AL Wild Card Schedule

Rise vs. Guardians AL Wild Card Odds

rays Series Price +102
guardians Series Price -120
cross odds Vandel. Get up to a minute MLB odds here.

Series table

  • Game 1: Friday, October 7, 12:07 PM ET, ESPN
  • Game 2: Saturday, October 8 at 12:07 p.m. ET, ESPN2
  • The third game: Sunday, October 9 at 4:07 p.m. ET, ESPN (if needed)

Tampa Bay Rays

  • World Championship Odds: +2000
  • Graded odds: +750
  • Regular season record: 86-75
  • Pythagorean Record: 87-74
  • Team WRC+ (ranking): 101 (fourteenth)
  • start show xFIP (ranking): 3.56 (sixth)
  • Bullpen xFIP (ranking): 3.86 (14)

cross odds Vandel
Pythagorean log via baseball reference
Ranking of stats via Fangraves

How did they get here

The Rays continue to defy expectations, riding another solid season on their fourth consecutive trip to the postseason.

dominance Yankees Early in the season it gave them little chance for the third game in a row at least title, but Tampa rode its unorthodox tactics to overcome some major injuries and qualify to play in October again.

The Rays will be looking for their second World Championship trip in the past three years, their third overall, and their first title.

a crime

The breakthrough that many expected from former prospect Wander Franco did not come to fruition because the short player was suffering from injuries and limited to only half of the team’s matches.

None of Ray stood out offensively, but they did get a great production from Yandy Diaz, who looks like he’ll never strike for power but has put OBP north of 0.400 to lead the offensive in fWAR. Randy Arrozarina, AL Governor general beginner And a postseason darling two years ago, he beat off a slow start to post another good season.

In typical Rays fashion, they sourced production from the unlikely source of Isaac Paredes, who made 20 home runs after coming on an undisclosed pre-season deal.

Rays are in the middle of the pack offensively by wRC+, but that was something to expect from a team that regularly challenges benchmarks.

rotation

Shane McClanahan has taken the lead this season and ran with him, helping the Rays assemble the third-best ERA team in the majors, ahead of the likes of the Yankees, mets And the brave.

McClanahan, a potential candidate for Cy Young, topped the two-digit hits of all 9 while limiting both walking and hard contact. Veteran Cory Klopper came off the season and ate the roles efficiently while staying healthy, but the real stalwarts behind McClanahan are Drew Rasmussen and Jeffrey Springs, both of whom will be very much counted on if the Rays are able to make a deep run in October. .

bull barn

The Savior is expected to be used all over the map in Tampa, where no dwelling is used in the usual way, in fact, Rays didn’t have a single dump collecting a double number of saves this season, with Jason Adam (8), Pete Fairbanks ( 8), Colin Butch (7) and Brooks Raleigh (6) lead the way.

Fairbanks is the most dominant and has been turning off the lights since returning from injury. All of his saves came after the All-Star break, and he will be the most important damper in a game of bulls who can throw a ton of choices to opposing teams in an unlimited number of ways. – Colin Church

Cleveland Guardians

  • World Series Odds: +3000
  • Graded odds: +1100
  • Regular season record: 91-70
  • Pythagorean Record: 87-74
  • wRC+ Team (ranking): 98 (18)
  • xFIP mode start (ranking): 3.97 (14th)
  • Bullpen xFIP (ranking): 3.47 (2nd)

cross odds Vandel
Pythagorean log via baseball reference
Ranking of stats via Fangraves

How did they get here

The Guardians haven’t been given much of a shot in pre-season in a division they are expected to dominate white socks is back twins.

However, both teams were disappointed, and Cleveland took full advantage, putting the division away for good with a three-game sweep over the White Sox in mid-September.

The Guardians went 21-8 in September, posting 90 wins for the fifth time in the last six full seasons to return to the post-season for the first time since 2020 and the fifth time in the past seven years.

a crime

The Guardians’ offense is not overshadowed, only ranked 18th in WRC+’s 98th, last among playoff teams and behind such disqualifying playoffs as red socksAnd the giants And the Orioles.

However, the Guardians grind the throwing sticks with the uncanny ability to put the racket on the ball. They only hit 18.3% of the time, which is the lowest in the majors by more than a full percentage point.

However, they also walk at a fifth lowest average, so their patience is less than what is the best batting ability for the ball in the sport. Leading this approach, of course, is the Finals Top 5’s Jose Ramirez, but the Guardians also found unexpected contributors from the likes of first-time All-Star Andres Gimenez (who actually leads Ramirez in fWAR), and rookie Stephen Kwan.

rotation

Shane Bieber may never be the dominant force we’ve seen during a 2020 season cut short by the pandemic, but he’s still a sure-fire ace of rotation, putting together another sub-3.00 ERA and staying healthy all season after injuries limited his campaign in 2021.

Behind him is the undisputed number two, Triston Mackenzie, who will approach 200 runs in his first full season and also tops the 3.00 ERA while leading the team at a K-rate with a walking rate of about 2 per nine.

And behind these two is a mixed bag of sorts. Cal Quantrill’s ERA is much better than its expected indicators, while Aaron Civale is the inverse of Quantrill. Zach Plesac is still around, but expect the Guardians to rely on these top four for as long as the playoff round lasts.

bull barn

The Cleveland Bullpen is among its most outstanding strengths, ranking alongside Astros The Yankees as the best player in the world American League. Emmanuel Clase has exploded into one of the most dominant players in baseball this season, with an ERA under 1.50 and predicting indicators to say he’s not too disappointed.

Behind him are James Karenshak, Trevor Stefan, Sam Hentigs, Enel de los Santos, Eli Morgan and Nick Sandlin. There is hardly a household name among the group, but there is also no ERA above 3.50. – Colin Church

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